Short Term Deposits Point To An Inverted Yield Curve

Saturday, May 14th, 2016

After the recent rate cut from the RBA,  Commonwealth Bank chief economist Michael Blythe in a note to their investors  indicated that the bank expects the RBA to make more additional interest rate cuts. “We had penciled in another 25 basis point rate cut for August, but the level of RBA concern is such that we feel obliged to add another cut to our cash rate profile. We have inserted a further 25 basis point cut in November".

From 1.75% today to a possible record low of 1.25%.

Banks and financial institutions have reacted to this cut but with expectations of further cuts as per the update from AustralianSuper in their term deposit page in that 6 month term deposit investments in the short term are currently yielding higher than longer term investments.

AustralianSuper - Interest rates current as at 15 April 2016

Term deposit Interest rate or range (% pa)

  • 90 Days   3.00 to 3.09
  • 180 Days 3.12 to 3.25
  • 365 Days 3.08 to 3.10

According to Cashwerkz , the online deposit manager, the yield chart indicated that 6 month deposits could be the be the highest offering in the short term (<1yr) before further cuts in the near future.



While deposit rates have been falling for many years now, savings accounts have also been significantly affected, with more than 10 banks including NAB and ING cutting interest rate yield on online savings accounts by 0.25% after the recent RBA decision. (Canstar)

Longer trends indicated by the RBA in that "increasing concern that this world of ultra-low interest rates over a lengthy period is a big problem for savers. Here we are not talking about short-term trends. When everyone wants to save, the return to doing so will fall".

Article by James Jones

The views expressed are the subjective opinion of the article's author and not of

Tags: term deposit

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